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​Benchmarking Financial Probabilities

 

ASR's Quarterly Asset Allocation Survey helps global investors understand the consensus and distribution of current views in the market. The survey is unique in its ability to forecast the likelihood of certain financial events by mapping implied probabilities to the frequency of these events over the past decade.

Our Methodology

Survey of Probabilities


For over 10 years, ASR has surveyed CIOs and asset allocators on the financial market outlook for the next 12 months:

 

  • The survey serves is a Global Benchmark of Financial Probabilities
     

  • The panel is made up of c.280 responses, overseeing c.$11.1 trillion AUM
     

The survey requires respondents to assess the likelihood of various financial and economic events occurring in the next year, consisting of thirty questions with five options and assigned probabilities.

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This approach calculates overall probabilities, providing a more advanced analysis compared to traditional surveys that work off of "net balance." These "implied probabilities" allow for comparisons with market probabilities, personal views, and historical baselines.

Q42024 Survey - Key Stats

280

Participants

Over USD $11 trillion

in AUM

63% Positive Stance

On US Equities vs.
Non-US

Bitcoin vs. Gold

NEW Question for
Q4 2024

Participant

Participate in the 2025 Surveys

If you're interested in participating in future Asset Allocation Surveys, please use the form below to find out more about the 2025 Survey programme or request a copy of archived survey results.

I would like to:

This form collects your name and email so that we can contact you for the purposes of the ASR Asset Allocation Survey. Read our Privacy Policy to see how we protect and manage your data.

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