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Access the people behind our research.​ Our Absolute Connect and Absolute Exchange events bring together the global investment community around the industry's most prolific topics to provide perspective and actionable intelligence.
Upcoming Events
ASSET ALLOCATION YEAR AHEAD
Event Details:
Friday 13th December
3pm GMT
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ASR's Head of Research, Nick Nelson, and Asset Allocation Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy, will discuss the latest asset allocation report and recommended positions for 2025, both at the asset class level and within individual asset classes. In addition to sharing the ASR outlook, they will compare in-house views with market consensus and explore alternative scenarios to monitor as we approach the new year.
GOLD OUTLOOK 2025: WHAT NEXT FOR GOLD?
Event Details:
Tuesday 17th December
3pm GMT
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Following the publication of the World Gold Council’s 2025 Gold Market Outlook, World Gold Council's Chief Market Strategist, John Reade and ASR's Real Asset Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy, will discuss the prospects for gold as we head into the New Year.
Gold has rallied strongly in 2024, at times in defiance of rising US real yields, with non-US investors and central banks seemingly playing an increasing role in the market. Will gold strength continue in 2025?
 
Given recent performance, and the heighted macro and geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the year ahead, this discussion should be of great interest to real asset investors and asset allocators.
Recent Events
GLOBAL ECONOMICS OUTLOOK: PLOTTING A PATH THROUGH UNCERTAINTY
Past Event:
Friday 6th December
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Three key factors will shape the global economy in 2025:
1. The impact of the US election outcome on the US economy
2. The implications for the rest of the world of Trump 2.0
3. The continued roll-out of stimulus measures in China
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Trump 2.0 inherits a strong economy but our economists expect a small net negative effect and three Fed cuts in 2025
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US-China trade conflict may hinder stimulus-driven economic progress in China - though a currency deal could emerge
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Slight adjustments to European and UK forecasts: we expect the ECB to ease to 2.50% and the Bank of England to stop at 4.25%
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Japan’s forecasts are slightly downgraded with two Bank of Japan hikes expected to 75 BP
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India could become a major growth contributor over the next five years, as such ASR has added it to the forecasts
ASR ASSET ALLOCATION SURVEY RESULTS
Past Event:
Friday 29th November
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The election of Trump has triggered a wide ranging re-evaluation of the prospects for the economy and markets, according to our Asset Allocation Survey. On Friday 29th November David Bowers and Charles Cara will host a webinar to discuss the results and their findings.
INVESTMENT ADVISORY - INFLATION BACK ON THE INVESTMENT AGENDA
Past Event:
Friday 22nd November
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ASR's Chief Investment Advisor, Ian Harnett, will explore some of the key issues raised in his recent Controversies, Convictions and Context note:
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The Controversy: Are Trump tax cuts really positive for Equities if they deliver inflation as well as earnings? We will show how to assess the risks, and why Bond investors are probably wrong in thinking Trump 2.0 will be good for curve ‘steepeners’
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Our Conviction: We show how the Trump victory should cause politicians and Central banks to re-examine their CB mandates if the former want to be re-elected and the latter want to stay independent and relevant to society
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The Context for all this analysis is the ever increasing size of the US deficit - and what this means for real yields and portfolios
GERMAN POLITICS - POSSIBLE IMPLICATIONS OF EARLY ELECTIONS
Past Event:
Friday 15th November
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Following German Chancellor Scholz's decision last week to dismiss his finance minister, and leader of the liberals, Lindner, three other Liberal ministers subsequently left the coalition. Now, the political future for Germany looks extremely uncertain.
ASR's European Economist, Ben Blanchard will discuss what this means for the German economy, macro backdrop and asset markets.
INTRODUCTION TO CLIMATE MACRO STRATEGY
Past Event:
Thursday 14th November
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Michael Penn and Michael Hessel, our Climate Macro Strategists, will outline how the climate transition is faring and present key investment themes. They will introduce the ASR Climate Investment Framework - aimed at helping investors integrate climate change thinking into an existing asset allocation process.
TRUMP 2.0 - MARKET IMPLICATIONS
Past Event:
Friday 8th November
Following the U.S. elections, ASR looked into the potential impacts on the economy, macro landscape, and asset markets.
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Markets have started to price in key parts of the Trump 2.0 agenda, including tax cuts, deregulation, and tariffs
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As initial moves settle, trade-offs will become more important; we would be wary of chasing a stronger dollar and steeper yield curve
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US banks, defence stocks, and small caps could benefit in equities; the clean energy supply chain could come under increased scrutiny
Popular Events 2024
ASSET ALLOCATION
Asset Allocation Survey Results
27th September 2024
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ASR's Co-founder, David Bowers and Quant Strategist, Charles Cara discuss the highlights from ASR's latest Asset Allocation Survey - Allocators Stay Moderately “Risk-on” and the big change of opinion on the prospects for Chinese growth.
20th September 2024 Zahra Ward-Murphy & Nick Nelson
Asset Allocation Q4 Outlook
6th September 2024 David Bowers
Funky Correlations & Missing Links
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28th June 2024 David Bowers & Charles Cara
Asset Allocation Survey Results
7th June 2024 David Bowers
Funky Correlations & Missing Links
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EQUITY STRATEGY
Sector & Factor Strategy after the Correction
30th August 2024
ASR's Strategists, Nick Nelson and Charles Cara discuss how to position in Sector and Factor Strategy after the market moves over July and August, and how the widening of US net income margins have come from a broadening out of earnings.
26th July 2024 - Nick Nelson
Can the Small Cap Rally Continue?
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24th May 2024 - Nick Nelson & Charles Cara
Cyclical Exposure in Europe
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12th April 2024 - Nick Nelson & Charles Cara
Equity Strategy Focus
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1st March 2024 - Nick Nelson
Equity Strategy Focus - Sector Update
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GLOBAL ECONOMICS
Mapping the New China Shock
25th October 2024​
ASR's Emerging Markets Economist, Adam Wolfe discusses how China’s industrial policies, excess capacity, and US tariffs created the new China shock and why he believes the EU and Japan appear to be most exposed to the shock.
18th October 2024 Ben Blanchard
Draghi's plan to transform Europe
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13th September 2024 Dominic White & Ben Blanchard
Q3 Update Focus
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9th August 2024 Dominic White, Michael Hessel & Nick Nelson
US Election Focus
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12th July 2024 Adam Wolfe
China Focus
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MULTI-ASSET STRATEGY
23rd February 2024 Chris Turner & Dominic White
Japan Focus
16th February 2024 Stefano Di Domizio
Fixed-Income Markets Focus
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10th November 2023 Chris Turner & Stefano Di Domizio
Multi-Asset Focus
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22nd September 2023 Stefano Di Domizio
Fixed Income Focus
Multi-Asset Q4 Update Focus
4th October 2024
ASR's Strategists, Chris Turner and Stefano Di Domizio discuss their Multi-Asset views and trade recommendations for Q4.
Climate Macro Strategy
Climate Macro Strategy Introduction
16th August 2024
ASR's Climate Macro Strategists, Michael Penn and Michael Hessel outline how the climate transition is faring and present key investment themes.
15th May 2024 Michael Penn & Michael Hessel
Climate Macro Strategy Introduction
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24th January 2023 Michael Penn & Michael Hessel
Climate Macro Strategy Introduction
17th November 2023 Michael Penn & Adam Wolfe
Emerging Markets & Climate Change Focus
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8th December 2022 Michael Penn & Michael Hessel
A Disorderly Transition & Long Run Returns
Absolute Exchange
1st Nov 2024 - Simon Rubinsohn, RICS
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30th Jul 2024 - Simon Rubinsohn, RICS
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27th Oct 2023 - Heinz Schulte, German Political Consultant
German Politics: Old Certainties No Longer
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2nd Mar 2023 - Heinz Schulte, German Political Consultant
Strategic Implications for Europe of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
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Absolute Exchange
featuring industry expert guest speakers
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