Events
At Absolute Strategy Research we believe in giving our clients exclusive access to industry experts covering a wide-range of themes. Absolute Exchange and Absolute Connect Webinars are presented weekly.
If an Absolute Exchange Event is of interest, or you'd like access to a recording of a past event, please register your interest by filling in the form below.
Up-and-Coming Client Events
Absolute Connect Webinar - China Reopening Focus
Friday 3rd Feb. 2023
Time:
10:00am EST
3:00pm GMT
4:00pm CET
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's EM Economist, Adam Wolfe and ASR's Head of Equity Strategy, Nick Nelson talk on their Economic & Strategy views for China. Adam discusses his view that reopening should lead to improved consumer confidence and a consumption boom. Nick explains why he recommends gaining exposure to China re-opening via direct China & Asia ex-Japan plays rather than ‘Global China’ with high sales to China.
Previous Client Events
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus
From P/E Compression to an Earnings Recession
27th January 2023
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Equity Strategy, Nick Nelson and ASR's Head of Quant Strategy, Charles Cara talk on why with P/E Compression now behind us, focus will shift to Earnings. That with Earnings starting well above trend, Global Earnings look Set to Fall -15% to -20% peak to trough. Lower inflation = lower margins. They also discuss which factors might provide protection as earnings fall back and our preference for the Quality factor over Growth.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Real Asset Focus
Oil Change!
20th January 2023
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Asset Allocation & Real Asset Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy talks on her recent Real Asset Strategist note - Oil change! Zahra will discuss why she believes, despite the recent fall in energy prices, high and volatile is likely medium term. She will also give her Asset Allocation views within the Real Asset sleeve.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus
The Year Ahead Redux
13th January 2023
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, the ASR Economics Team talk about how things have changed since they published their Year Ahead Outlook in late November, with a focus on policy moves in China, the chances of a soft landing in the US, and European monetary policy.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Investment Strategy Year-Ahead Focus
18th December 2022
After a dramatic year for financial markets in 2022, in this “Absolute Connect” Ian Harnett, ASR's Co-founder and Chief Investment Strategist discusses the ASR views on the macro drivers for markets in 2023 and the investment consequences.
Ian explores why we see this as a once in a decade opportunity to switch out of Equities and into Bonds, and why Housing and Credit are likely to be in crisis at some point in the year ahead.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Survey Focus
19th December 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, David Bowers and Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara discuss the results of ASR's latest Asset-Allocation Survey. The quarterly Survey (now in its eighth year) explores how around 200 global CIOs, Asset Allocators, and Multi-Asset Strategists view the financial markets.
They explore the panel's appetite for risks assets for 2023 in the light of their expectations for inflation, bond yields and policy rates. They also cover the differences and similarities in the views of bullish and bearish panellists. This wave will be particularly interesting as it will provide an authoritative benchmark as to how institutional investors view "The Year Ahead".
Absolute Exchange Webinar - "The Price of Time - The Real Story of Interest"
15th December 2022
In this "Absolute Exchange" webinar with renowned financial historian, author, journalist and investment strategist, Edward Chancellor, talks to his book “The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest”.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics 2023 Outlook Focus
2nd December 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's EM Economist, Adam Wolfe and Economist, Ben Blanchard summarize their economic outlook for 2023. They also discuss the likelihood of recessions, what those recessions might look like, prospects for inflation and monetary policy, and the ‘binary’ outlook in China – all in 30 minutes!
Absolute Connect Webinar - Central Banks & Global Bond Markets Focus
25th November 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Fixed Income, Stefano Di Domizio presents his current fixed-income strategy views and trade ideas across US and Europe.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus
Investing in the 2023 Recession
18th November 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Equity Strategy, Nick Nelson talks on our current Equity views. Why, despite recent bear market rallies, investors should stay Overweight Defensive vs Cyclical Equities in Sectors and Regions, some of the risks of high operating leverage and the advantages of stocks with dividend resilience.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Factor Focus
Factor Investing in the Coming Recession
11th November 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara discusses equity factors. The coming economic slow-down and the Cashburner bust should continue to boost the Quality factor, particularly those stocks with high and stable profitability and with Low Price Volatility. Meanwhile, Growth stocks have become more cyclical and high Quality high dividend yields look attractive.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - UK Pensions Focus
The Medium-term Consequences of the UK's Pension Crisis
10th November 2022
In this “Absolute Exchange” webinar, our Guest Speaker, Toby Nangle, former Head of Asset Allocation for Columbia Threadneedle Investments and ASR's Head of Quant Strategy, Charles Cara discuss the medium-term consequences of the UK pensions debacle on capital markets.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Investment Strategy Focus
4th November 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, Ian Harnett discusses his recent note “Don’t Believe All the Bull(s) About this Rally”. He explains why, despite the record gains for the US Dow Jones Index in October, we do not see this as the start of a new ‘bull market’. He discusses how similar ‘bear market rallies’ have given ‘false-dawn’ hopes in previous equity bear-markets. Ian also shows how Global Equities are more stretched relative to Bonds than at any time since October 1987, while the US Bond and Equity data have only been this stretched seven times in the last 110 years.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus
Financial instability - a dilemma for central banks?
28th October 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Chief Economist, Dominic White talks about the outlook for monetary policy in the US and Europe; the concept of r**, or ‘r-double-star’; how that relates to the risk of financial instability; and how it creates more of a dilemma for central banks than they have experienced through most of this tightening cycle.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus
Investing in the 2023 Recession
21st October 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Strategy, Nick Nelson talks on earnings, dividends and Capex, how despite some de-rating, Global and US stocks are not yet pricing in a recessionary fall in earnings. Nick also discusses the potential ramifications of this for dividends and capex.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics - China Focus
14th October 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's EM Economist, Adam Wolfe presents his current views on China ahead of the 20th National Party Congress which starts on Sunday October 16th. Adam discusses what to expect from the Communist Party’s leadership turnover and how the meeting could impact China’s economic growth model.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Multi-Asset Investing Focus
7th October 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Multi-Asset, Chris Turner and Head of Fixed Income, Stefano Di Domizio discuss their current views on Multi-Asset Investing in the current turbulent markets. They discuss our overweight stance and our preference for UST Nominals vs Linkers and Bunds vs BTPS. They also talk on why we maintain a preference for IG over HY and our view on the dollar and wider FX views.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus
30th September 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, Ian Harnett discusses the latest Asset Allocation views about why ASR has moved Max Underweight Equities and Max Overweight cash and what the increased fears of Global recession and market volatility means for the ASR Equity Strategy positioning in the year ahead.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Survey Focus:
Q3 2022 Results Review
23rd September 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara discusses the results of ASR's latest Asset-Allocation Survey. The quarterly Survey (now in its eighth year) explores how around 200 global CIOs, Asset Allocators, and Multi-Asset Strategists view the financial markets.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus:
Three Big Problems for the Global Economy
16th September 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Chief Economist, Dominic White, Emerging Markets Economist, Adam Wolfe and Economist, Ben Blanchard discuss their recent Economics quarterly update. In this note, they outlined three major challenges the global economy faces: the European energy crisis, the effect of tighter monetary policy on growth and the ramifications of China's zero-covid policy. There are no obvious solutions to these issues and as such Dom and his team downgraded their Economic forecasts, taking them even further below consensus.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Quant Focus :
Equity Buybacks and Factors
9th September 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara discusses developments to share buybacks, how they have been funded and what impact they might be having on equity markets. He also looks at the key developments for equity factors over the last 3 months and which factors might provide protection if there is a recession.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Real Asset Focus :
Commercial Real Estate
2nd September 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Real Asset Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy looks at how commercial real estate might weather a recession, implications for CRE of a housing market correction, and the outlook for other key CRE sectors.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - German Political Focus :
“The Prospect of a German Energy Crisis This Winter”
25th August 2022
In this "Absolute Exchange", our guest speaker, Heinz Schulte, ASR’s German Political Consultant, discusses (1) some of the key reasons why Germany can never return to the Russian gas supply volume prior to the invasion of the Ukraine; (2) how Germany will likely be able to manage the forthcoming winter but with major financial consequences. He also explores the future of the China-Russian relationship and its wider political ramifications for Germany, Europe and the US.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus :
“US Housing Risks Are Now Key For Investors”
19th August 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, Ian Harnett discusses why “US Housing Risks Are Now Key For Investors” and how in many ways, Housing IS the Cycle, given the way that it impacts activity, employment, earnings & financial stability.
In this session Ian explores how US housing is being challenged by falling demand and rising supply. He shows how housing inventories point to a significant slowdown in housing starts, resulting in a big impact on GDP and potentially Unemployment. Ian explains why strong consumer balance sheets should be seen as a signal of increasing risk and not a sign of increased security and finally explore why we worry that if housing stress moves from ‘construction to collateral’ market risks will rise.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Earnings Season Focus
12th August 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara discusses the earnings season. He highlights his latest Earnings Season Monitor and key takeaways from the earnings season so far including the market's reaction. He shows how the small positive surprise in the US contrasts with the large positive surprises in the Rest of the World. Breaking the earnings down he shows which sectors and factors have been strong and where the cost pressures are most intense.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Investment Committee Briefing
5th August 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Asset Allocation Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy discusses her latest Investment Committee Briefing publication, which is designed to help our clients prepare for their regular investment committee meetings and to keep up to date with ASR's views. Zahra highlights some of our views, by way of our ‘Key Themes for Investors'.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus :
Funky Correlations & Missing Links
29th July 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, David Bowers discusses his latest Funky Correlations publication, where he talks to some of the charts that suggest continuing challenges for risk assets over the coming 12 months.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus :
Escalating Risk
15th July 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, Ian Harnett provides his insight on three of the critical questions we have been asked in our latest client marketing:
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How much of an activity and earnings slowdown is already discounted in equity prices?
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How early do equities trough relative to earnings?
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What are the key signs that we will look for before suggesting clients should re-risk their portfolios?
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus : China
8th July 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Emerging Markets Economist, Adam Wolfe discusses his recent note: The constraints on China’s recovery. He will explain that whilst China’s economic recovery has begun, three interrelated problems are likely to constrain the rebound and why monetary-fiscal coordination will be necessary to get the Chinese economy back on its pre-Covid trajectory.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Survey
1st July 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara discusses the results of ASR's latest Asset-Allocation Survey. The quarterly Survey (now in its eighth year) explores how around 200 global CIOs, Asset Allocators, and Multi-Asset Strategists view the prospects for financial markets over the next 12 months.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Multi-Asset Focus
24th June 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Multi- Asset, Chris Turner and Head of Fixed Income, Stefano Di Domizio discuss their current Multi-Asset views and trade ideas. They will discuss their overweight core Fixed Income view and preferences within the asset class, why they continue to prefer IG vs HY and why they believe the dollar rally could have further to run.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
Rolling Recessions Lie Ahead
17th June 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, Dom and the team discuss their recent Quarterly Update - Rolling Recessions Lie Ahead. They will explain why their updated forecasts now factor in a series of rolling recessions across the global economy lasting for 12-18 months, and their belief that inflation worries will be replaced by intensifying concerns about growth.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy :
Focus on Earnings Risks Not Valuation Risks
10th June 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, Ian explains why the biggest risk to Equities now comes from earnings not valuations. That after the recent valuation compression we could now be approaching an earnings recession with cyclicals especially in Asia and the eurozone are likely to see the greatest earnings risks.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus :
The Coming Crisis for Non-Bank Financials
27th May 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's co-founder and Chief Investment Strategist, Ian Harnett, discusses some of the factors dominating recent Equity Market moves and looks ahead to where the key risks might be as the US rate cycle accelerates. Ian will explain why we would still ‘sell the rallies’ rather than ‘buy the dips’ and what signals we will be looking for to get more positive on Equities again.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus :
Funky Correlations & Missing Links
20th May 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's co-founder and Head of Research, David Bowers, discusses his latest Funky Correlations publication, where he will talk to some of the key charts that should help Asset Allocators to navigate current markets.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Focus
13th May 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Quantitative Strategy Charles Cara will discuss how the recent decline in equity markets have been led by falls in the disruptive, cashburning stocks and how we are seeing echoes of the dotcom crash.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Fixed Income Focus
6th May 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Fixed Income Strategist Stefano Di Domizio discusses the fixed income markets impact of this week’s FOMC policy outcome, also going through bond investing implications and ideas.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Emerging Markets Debt Focus
29th April 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's EM Economist, Adam Wolfe discusses how our EM Default Risk Indicator signals that a historic EM default wave is approaching. He will talk on the key causes of this and the potential human and financial ramifications.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Quant Focus
22nd April 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara discusses how, despite higher debts, corporates have the headroom to cope with rising interest rates. Instead, he will argue, it is margins that investors need to watch, and assess the risks for margins vs debts by sector.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Multi-Asset Focus
8th April 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Multi-Asset, Chris Turner and Head of Fixed-Income, Stefano Di Domizio discuss their Multi-Asset views and trade ideas for Q2.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Real Asset Focus
1st April 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Asset Allocation & Real Assets Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy discusses the ASR view on Real Assets and why we currently retain an overweight recommendation despite increased downside risks to the growth outlook.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Survey
25th March 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, David Bowers & Quant Strategist, Charles Cara discuss the results of ASR's latest Asset-Allocation Survey. The quarterly Survey (now in its eighth year) explores how around 200 global CIOs, Asset Allocators, and Multi-Asset Strategists view the prospects for financial markets over the next 12 months. Questions the survey seeks to answer include whether investors are concerned about a recession and which assets are expected to provide protection.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Thematics Focus
18th March 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Thematics, Michael Hessel talks about his recent analysis of the Russia-Ukraine crisis, including the structural risks to Europe and whether sanctions work. He will also discuss whether the Russian invasion is driving a wedge between democracies and autocracies, and the related risks to markets from this. Finally, he will address the social and governance impact and his framework for incorporating these factors into markets.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus
11th March 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, Ian Harnett discusses the recent turbulent markets in the context of the ASR Equity Strategy Outlook. He will examine the key questions that investors should be asking themselves in response to the Ukraine crisis, what historic parallels might be relevant – whether the Global stagflation of the 1970s is the best model - or whether there are other more relevant periods, before assessing the best macro-to-market lenses with which to assess potential market scenarios. Finally, we will assess what these scenarios might mean for Global Equity allocations.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
The Global Cost of Russia's Invasion
4th March 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Chief Economist, Dominic White and the Economics team discuss the Global Cost of the Russian Invasion and how it has affected their updated global economic forecasts.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - Russia and the Ukraine :
A European Response
28th February 2022
In this "Absolute Exchange" our guest speaker, Heinz Schulte, ASR’s German Political Consultant, discusses European response to Russia and the Ukraine.
Heinz will help us understand the Eurozone political perspective on the Russia/Ukraine crisis. He will discuss the potential scope of the Russian ambitions, the potential European response to Russia’s actions, as well as the longer term political implications for the EU from the unfolding events.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus : China
25th February 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Emerging Markets Economist, Adam Wolfe discusses why China’s policymakers have abandoned their efforts to rebalance the economy toward services and consumption. He’ll discuss his recent note, ‘China’s new growth strategy’ which lays out the challenges ahead for China as it pursues a growth model based on manufacturing and investment, and what it means for the global economy.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Technicals and Sentiment Focus
18th February 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Head of Technicals Strategy, David McBain, discusses ASR’s Sentiment Barometer Indicators (SBIs), what they can tell us about the outlook for markets after recent volatility and how they can be integrated into investment decision making processes to drive alpha (6% annualised alpha in a multi-asset strategy).
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus :
Funky Correlations and Missing Links
11th February 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Co-founder, David Bowers discusses his latest "Funky Correlations & Missing Links" report and runs through some of these key macro-to-markets relationships and how they can inform asset allocators as they think about the future.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus
4th February 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, Ian Harnett shares his thoughts on:
Equity Strategies for the Coming Rate Cycle
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How uncertainty over Fed rate policy, inflation, omicron and geopolitics has driven recent volatility.
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Explain how this has been a different kind of Equity market de-risking.
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Discuss why it is too early to be bearish on Equities, even as we de-risk.
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Explore the intra-Equity allocations that should provide resilience as the Fed begins tightening.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus
28th January 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Chief Economist, Dominic White discusses prospects for Fed policy this year and whether we are close to ‘peak hawkishness’. Dominic continues to think that the Fed won’t tighten by as much as markets expect this year.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Multi-Asset Focus : Year Ahead
21st January 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Multi-Asset Strategists, Chris Turner and Stefano Di Domizio discuss their new and existing recommendations across major asset classes in the light of the recent major repricing of Fed tightening in 2022. Their long-standing Multi-Asset Strategy approach often results in “relative value” ideas which possess an asymmetric risk profile and which can work in scenarios beyond ASR’s central one.
Absolute Connect Webinar - ASR Macro ESG Focus
14th January 2022
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's MacroESG Strategist, Michael Penn introduces ASRs new Macro ESG Product.
Our new Macro ESG research service aims to offer investors the building blocks key to creating an ESG Aware ‘top down’ investment process: One which integrates ESG into the drivers of views on macroeconomics, strategy and asset allocation.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus :
2022 Year Ahead
17th December 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar ASR’s Co-founders, David Bowers and Ian Harnett, outline the changes our Asset Allocation views for 2022, and discuss what factors prompted their move toward “De-Risking in a Trend Everything World” and what this might mean for your portfolios.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - German Political Economy
9th December 2021
Germany's New Coalition Government: "All Change" with ASR’s German Political Consultant, Heinz Schulte, discussing the implications for investors of the new German government's Coalition Agreement.
The webinar will be chaired by Michael Hessel, ASR's Head of Thematics
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus : 2022 Outlook
3rd December 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Chief Economist, Dominic White & the Economics Team discuss their 2022 Global Economic Outlook. Their base case is for supply chain issues to ease, the growth-inflation mix to improve and CBs to tighten gradually.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Thematics Focus
26th November 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Thematics Strategist, Michael Hessel discusses his note, ‘Five themes for 2022 – and beyond’. He will go through the themes that have the potential to be ‘live’ next year, and how they could impact financial markets.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Multi-Asset Focus
19th November 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Multi-Asset and Fixed-Income Strategists, Chris Turner and Stefano Di Domizio discuss their current Multi-Asset themes and trade recommendations.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Factor Focus
12th November 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Quantitative Strategist, Charles Cara discusses the macro themes driving equity factors, especially Value and his 5 pillar scorecard approach to analyzing Factor Performance.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Investment Committee Briefing
5th November 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Asset Allocation Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy presents ASR’s latest Investment Committee Briefing. This monthly product is designed to help wealth managers prepare for their regular investment committee meetings or prepare reports. It includes topical charts for discussion, chart updates on macro and market developments and a summary of ASR’s views and recommendations.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Real Asset Focus
29th October 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Asset Allocation Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy covers the key messages from ASR’s latest Real Asset Strategist publication.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
Logistics & Supply Chain
22nd October 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Economists, Ben Blanchard and Anthony Abrahamian examine whether we’re past the peak of supply chain stress, using a variety of charts from ASR’s proprietary logistics data.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Technicals and Sentiment Focus
15th October 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Head of Technicals Strategy, David McBain talks on what Technicals and the ASR proprietary Sentiment Barometers are currently signalling for cross asset global markets through the end of 2021.
Sentiment Barometer Indicators (SBIs) use behavioural biases to create series that have the same dynamics as survey based indices.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
China's Regulatory Storm : Bad weather or climate change?
8th October 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Emerging Markets Economist, Adam Wolfe, discusses the raft of regulatory changes that China has rolled out in recent months. Adam will explain what seems to be motivating this regulatory storm, and whether or not the worst has passed or if this is the start of new economic system.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Multi-Asset Focus
1st October 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, Chris Turner & Head of Fixed-Income, Stefano Di Domizio discuss their current Multi-Asset views and their trade recommendations.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Survey
24th September 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar, ASR’s Co-founder David Bowers and ASR’s Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara run through the key takeaways from ASR’s latest Asset Allocation Survey, which maps how investors see the outlook for financial markets over the next 12 months. Have asset allocators changed their views on inflation? If so, then what is the impact on their views for bonds, FX and equity markets? They flag our panel’s highest convictions, anomalies and contradictions, as well as any divisions among them.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - Green Thematics Focus :
Is COP26 Headed for Failure?
16th September 2021
Earlier this summer, Dr. Elizabeth Harnett, Senior Associate at the Rocky Mountain Institute’s Center for Climate Finance and a specialist in Sustainable Finance, spoke to us about how the costs of the Green Transition would be met by private and public capital. In this second session, she will turn to her attention to the politics and economics of international climate negotiations, and focus on answering the following questions:
• What is COP designed to achieve and what potential progress could be made? What would constitute success at COP?
• What are the risks around disappointment? How damaging could they be to the prospects of achieving climate goals?
• What happens after COP? What are the next opportunities to achieve global cooperation?
Absolute Exchange Webinar - German Politics Focus
9th September 2021
With the German federal election on 26th September 2021, Angela Merkel’s 16-year tenure as Chancellor will end and the Grand Coalition of Christian Democrats and Social Democrats will have run its course.
What are the implications for the Merkel legacy? What impact will the choice of chancellor have on the European agenda and on the Franco-German relationship in particular?
Absolute Connect Webinar - Investment Committee Briefing
3rd September 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Asset Allocation Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy presents ASR’s latest Investment Committee Briefing. This monthly product is designed to help wealth managers prepare for their regular investment committee meetings or prepare reports. It includes topical charts for discussion, chart updates on macro and market developments and a summary of ASR’s views and recommendations.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equities Outlook Focus
27th August 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Quantitative Strategist, Charles Cara discusses the recent earnings season, companies that surprised the market and the performance of our ACE model. He also talks on margins, cash flow, capex trends and corporate profit outlook.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Thematics Focus
20th August 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Thematics Strategist, Michael Hessel and ASR's Co-founder, David Bowers elaborate on three themes discussed in recent Thematics notes: ageing and its investment implications, supply chains, and the new antitrust and regulatory regime.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
Global Inflation : Is it still Transitory?
13th August 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Chief Economist, Dominic White looks at some of the recent trends in the global inflation data and to establish whether these point to the recent spike in inflation being a temporary phenomenon or the start of something more persistent.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus : China
6th August 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s EM Specialist Adam Wolfe discusses his note: PBoC’s new rules constrain credit: How monetary policy works in China’s new policy regime. Adam explains how China's policy regime has changed dramatically since 2017 and why old ‘rules of thumb’ should not be relied upon for investment decisions.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Technicals Focus : Risk Appetite
23rd July 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Head of Technical Strategy David McBain discusses where ASR proprietary data suggests risk appetite has moved to following recent market volatility and introduces our new volatility SBIs.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - Green Thematics :
What you need to know about the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism
21st July 2021
Guest speaker Sam Lowe, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for European Reform is interviewed by the author of ASR's Green Thematics reports, Richard Mylles.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus
16th July 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Co-founder, David Bowers speaks to ASR's latest Asset-Allocation Quarterly report. He explains why we believe risk assets can still outperform on a 12-month view, despite some of the macro 'tailwinds' of the past 12-months at risk of becoming 'headwinds'.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
Pinpointing Supplyside Bottlenecks
25th June 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASRs Chief Economist, Dominic White & Economist, Anthony Abrahamian speak around the supply bottlenecks we have seen as a result of the rebound in global growth. They discuss how this has raised some companies’ pricing power and in turn been a source inflationary pressure. They have used various data to pinpoint the industries most effected and to identify where the bottlenecks are easing.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - Green Thematics :
How Will the Green Transition be Financed?
17th June 2021
In the first in a series of two Absolute Exchange Webinar Events with guest speaker, Dr Elizabeth Harnett, Senior Associate at the Rocky Mountain Institute’s Center for Climate-Aligned Finance, she will be interviewed by the author of ASR's Green Thematics reports, Richard Mylles, about three key questions facing investors coming to terms with ESG impacts in their portfolios
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Survey
18th June 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Co-founder David Bowers and Quant Strategist, Charles Cara run through the key takeaways from ASR’s latest quarterly Asset Allocation Survey, which maps how investors see the outlook for financial markets over the next 12 months. They flag the highest convictions, the anomalies and the contradictions. They also dig deep into the panel and explore the fault lines in how institutional investors see the world.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus :
Funky Correlations & Missing Links
11th June 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, David Bowers introduces our new regular Asset Allocation product which will showcase some of the ‘macro to market’ relationships that inform our Asset Allocation process. Some building blocks are topical: this month we have focussed on the correlation between stock and bond returns and whether the current inflation scare is enough to cause it to change. Other building blocks feature some of the ‘cross-asset cross-checks’ we use to monitor and confirm our views.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
An update of our economic outlook
4th June 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" Webinar, ASR's Economics team briefly run through what they see as being the key economic themes for investors over the next quarter and beyond.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Factor Focus :
Value more than a trade on rising bond yields
28th May 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" Webinar, ASR's Head of Quantitative Strategy, Charles Cara, discusses the weak reaction to strong earnings season and how going forward pricing power will be key. He also talks on US tax reform and how his factor analyses that suggests Value’s outperformance will be sustained by cheap valuations, strong earnings and improving momentum.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus : China
The Impact of Chinese Credit Tightening
21st May 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" Webinar, ASR's Emerging Market Economist, Adam Wolfe discusses the drivers behind the decline of China’s credit impulse and how that is likely to impact its economy over the next year.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Sentiment & Technicals Focus
14th May 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar, ASR's Head of Technical Strategy, David McBain, discusses recent market moves and key technical and sentiment reversal signals.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Investment Strategy & Asset Allocation
7th May 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar, ASR Co-founders Ian Harnett & David Bowers discuss their Investment Strategy & Asset Allocation views for global asset classes further to publishing their quarterly Asset Allocation update.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Multi-Asset Focus
30th April 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar, ASR's Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, Chris Turner and Head of Fixed Income, Stefano Di Domizio discuss their current Multi-Asset themes and trade recommendations as US inflation expectations hit 8-year highs.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - German Politics Focus
23rd April 2021
"How the Green Party could dominate this September's General Election" with Heinz Schulte, ASR's German Political Consultant, and ASR's Co-founder David Bowers.
In this "Absolute Exchange" webinar, David & Heinz explore what this could mean for this September's German elections - including the very real possibility that the next German government could be led by the Green Party - as well as some possible implications for investors.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Alternative Assets Focus
9th April 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar, ASR's Alternatives and Asset Allocation Strategist, Zahra Ward-Murphy speaks on the ASR Alternatives view with a focus on the outlook for commodities.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Survey
19th March 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar, ASR's Co-founder, David Bowers & Quant Strategist, Charles Cara discuss the results of ASR's latest Asset-Allocation Survey. The quarterly Survey (now in its seventh year) explores how over 200 global CIOs, Asset Allocators, and Multi-Asset Strategists view the prospects for financial markets over the next 12 months. One year on from the outbreak of CoVID 19, after a year of unprecedented market moves, fiscal easing and events we are (hopefully) only likely to see once in our lifetimes this survey will be particularly poignant.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Fixed-Income Focus
12th March 2021
In this "Absolute Exchange" webinar, ASR’s Head of Fixed Income Strategy, Stefano Di Domizio discusses fixed-income market strategy and investing ideas following the recent bond market sell-off.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus :
Equity Markets from a Quant Perspective
5th March 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Quant Strategist, Charles Cara, discusses how the dispersion and correlations in the equity market have changed this year as companies have returned to earnings growth and surprised consensus.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - Will Biden’s administration be transformative?
4th March 2021
In this "Absolute Exchange" webinar, US political risk specialist and former member of the Obama administration Kim Wallace is once again interviewed by ASR's Political Analyst Richard Mylles.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Thematics Focus : COVID Catalyst for Regime Change
26th February 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Co-founder, David Bowers and ASR’s Head of Thematics, Michael Hessel discuss ASR’s views on some of the structural changes that have been brought on by the COVID pandemic and their potential impact on financial markets.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Sentiment & Multi-Asset Focus
19th February 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR’s Head of Technical Strategy, David McBain and Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, Chris Turner, discuss ASR's proprietary SBIs (Sentiment Barometer Indicators) and a Tactical Trading framework we have developed that uses SBIs and Options Skew to exploit dislocations in investor sentiment and positioning.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Data Focus
12th February 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, Ben Blanchard & Anthony Abrahamian discuss the recent surge in shipping costs from China, and how our logistics dataset can help track the story.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - The Great Demographic Reversal
11th February 2021
In this “Absolute Exchange” webinar, Professor Charles Goodhart and Dr Manoj Pradhan talk to their book ‘The Great Demographic Reversal’. The book proposes that the underlying forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three multi-decade global trends - it will raise inflation and interest rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality.
This thesis should be of interest to anyone with an interest in macro strategy and strategic asset allocation.
Moderators: Dominic White (ASR's Chief Economist) and David Bowers (ASR's Co-founder)
Absolute Exchange Webinar - Bitcoin & Digital Assets :
"What Institutional Investors Need to Know"
3rd February 2021
In this “Absolute Exchange” webinar, Doug Schwenk provides an introduction to Bitcoin and other Digital Assets, looking at the how they operate. He discusses how the infrastructure has changed recently and examines the issues that might affect institutional investors in these assets.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
Emerging Markets Default Risk Index
5th February 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Emerging Markets Economist, Adam Wolfe discusses our new EM Default Risk Index of 79 EM countries which suggests that hard-currency bond spreads for lower rated EMs may be underestimating default risk.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus
29th January 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, Ian Harnett, discusses the updates in our Asset Allocation Quarterly.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Factor Investing Focus :
ASR’s 5 pillar framework
22nd January 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Quantitative Strategist, Charles Cara discusses how ASR’s 5 pillar framework can be applied to equity factors. While factors are often promoted as strategies to hold for the long run, recent performance has shown the need to take a more tactical approach. ASR’s 5 pillars provide a framework to understand the impact of the macro cycle, earnings, valuations, risk and momentum on the main equity factors.
Absolute Connect Webinar - German Politics Focus :
Why the CDU Leadership Outcome is Critical for Germany's Election in September
18th January 2021
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar, ASR’s German Political Consultant, Heinz Schulte discusses ‘Why the CDU Leadership Outcome is Critical for Germany's Election in September’.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Multi-Asset Focus : 2021
15th January 2021
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Multi-Asset Strategists, Chris Turner and Stefano Di Domizio discuss ASR’s Multi Asset Themes and Trade ideas for 2021.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - What Joe Biden's Presidency could mean for investors
13th January 2021
This “Absolute Exchange” webinar features US political risk specialist and former member of the Obama administration, Kim Wallace is interviewed by ASR's Political Analyst Richard Mylles.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
The Alternative Year Ahead
18th December 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR Chief Economist Dominic White & the Economics Team discuss the alternative scenarios to our central view for the coming year and where we could be challenged in 2021!
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Survey
11th December 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, David Bowers & ASR's Head of Quant Strategy, Charles Cara discuss the results of ASR's latest Asset-Allocation Survey. The quarterly Survey (now in its seventh year) explores how over 200 global CIOs, Asset Allocators, and Multi-Asset Strategists view the prospects for financial markets over the next 12 months.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus
4th December 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's co-founder, Ian Harnett, discusses some of the key ‘controversies’ facing Equity investors in 2021 and explore how our economic outlook resolves some of those questions.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus : China 2035
Xi’s growth gambit
27th November 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Emerging Markets Economist, Adam Wolfe discusses China’s new Economic plan which aims to double GDP by 2035 and the challenges this plan might face.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Asset Allocation Focus :
Challenges from rising bond yields and low credit spreads
20th November 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Asset Allocation Strategist, Jonathon Griggs & Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, Chris Turner discuss current ASR Asset Allocation views and the challenges that rising bond yields could pose to these.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Investment Strategy Focus :
Strategy Impact of the Vaccine White Swan
13th November 2020
In this "Absolute Connect" webinar, ASR's Co-founders, Ian Harnett & David Bowers discuss the ‘Vaccine White Swan’ - how this can drive market volatility, the rotation out of US Tech towards Eurozone Value and why the recent moves fit our ‘regime change’ model.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus :
5 ways Covid-19 has changed the world
6th November 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Chief Economist, Dominic White and the Economics Team discuss the profound, lasting impact the pandemic will have on how the global economy behaves, focussing on 5 key changes that have already taken place.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Technicals Strategy Focus :
How are markets positioned heading into the US Election?
30th October 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Technicals Strategy, David McBain reviews the technicals and sentiment profile of markets ahead of US Election week, highlighting underlying tension in equities versus bonds and the important interplay between bonds, FX and industrial commodities.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Political Focus :
Key Questions on the US Election
23rd October 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Political Analyst, Richard Mylles discusses in more detail key issues within the 20 key questions from his top down analysis of the forthcoming US election.
Absolute Connect Webinar - 10 Toughest Strategy Questions
16th October 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Co-founder, Ian Harnett answers the '10 toughest questions' that clients posed to David and Ian during their recent meetings where they spoke with over 100 global investors based in the UK, Europe, the US, Asia & Australasia.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Equity Strategy Focus :
The End of the Buyback?
9th October 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Head of Quant Strategy, Charles Cara, discusses the outlook for Buybacks which were cut by 50% in Q2, and the impact this might have on the market.
Absolute Connect Webinar - Economics Focus : China
2nd October 2020
In this “Absolute Connect” webinar, ASR's Emerging Markets Economist, Adam Wolfe, gives an update on China ahead of the Communist Party’s Plenum that kicks off October 26, where the top leaders will sign off on the next Five-year plan.
Adam talks in detail on his recent China's dual circulation strategy note and where the economy is headed.
Absolute Exchange Webinar - Private Equity Focus
30th September 2020
In this "Absolute Exchange" webinar, Ludovic Phalippou, Professor of Financial Economics at Saïd Business School, University of Oxford, leads a discussion on private equity, ‘Does private equity offer superior returns’, and at what cost?’’
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