Research Insights
Updated weekly, a rolling feed of research insights and charts you really ought to see.
Funky Correlations and Missing Links from David Bowers
7th JUN. 2021
The report highlights some ‘macro to market’ relationships that inform our Asset Allocation process.
This month: The great Stock-Bond correlation conundrum - We illustrate key cross-asset cross-checks.
Rising Margins benefit Value and Quality
20th MAY. 2021
While macro indicators point to continued strength in corporate margins, there are risks from increased supply and corporate tax reforms. We would favor Value and Quality from here.
The Year of Living Dangerously
6th MAY. 2021
This quarter’s Asset Allocation document reiterates our preference for Risk assets over Defensives. While we are doubling down on our preference for Cyclicals, we trim our underweight Core Fixed Income.
Q2 Equity Strategy: Focus on Inflation
23rd APR. 2021
Defensives May Appear Attractive but Cyclicals Thrive with Inflation
Multi Asset Strategy
14th APR. 2021
High Yield: how much fuel left in the tank? Returns outlook is still positive – but focus on BB and avoid CCC
Economics Weekly
13th APR. 2021
Signs of a shift out of Secular Stagnation - The Roaring Twenties won’t be repeated, but that’s a good thing
Why IPOs may boom in this new Policy Regime
18th MAR. 2021
An IPO boom could signal a golden era for Global Banks and corporate finance as companies look to reverse the trend of de-equitisation and float / re-list / issue equity and pay down debt.
A Trillion dollars here or there
10th MAR. 2021
. . . Now that the fiscal outlook is clearer, consumer behavior is key.
The fiscal outlook has become clearer with the imminent passage of the American Rescue Plan, China’s recent budget announcement and the suspension of the EU fiscal rules for another year. We find ourselves upgrading our global growth forecasts to 6 1/2%.
ASR’s Ian Harnett writes the Markets Insight column in the Financial Times.
18th FEB. 2021
Absolute Strategy Research’s Co-Founder Ian Harnett discusses why expansive fiscal and monetary policies may see a 1980s-style Japanese melt-up and meltdown, in his Financial Times ‘Market Insights’ article.
Absolute Strategy Research Featured in Bloomberg Opinion article.
18th FEB. 2021
John Authers utilises some ASR charts in his Bloomberg Opinion article titled: The Bubble's Final Paroxysm May Be Months Away.
We remain Overweight Europe vs the US
16th FEB. 2021
ASR Co-Founder David Bowers reiterates our preference for European Equities vs US Equities
