Research Insights

Updated weekly, a rolling feed of research insights and charts you really ought to see.

Economics: When will China end zero Covid?

18th MAY. 2022

It could re-open sooner than you think, but probably won’t.

Economics: When will China end zero Covid?

Weekly Technicals Essentials

16th MAY. 2022

Equity pessimism has hit stretched levels in absolute and relative terms, while dollar optimism is stretched on several fronts. In metals, Copper and Silver have reached stretched pessimism territory.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Weekly Technical Essentials

9th MAY. 2022

We highlight that equity pessimism has reached stretched levels in the eurozone, US and EM, while pessimism is stretched on a number of bond markets, as the US 10Y yield challenges long-term trendline resistance. Elsewhere in multi-asset, optimism is stretched on the US dollar on a number of fronts, while Copper sentiment is badly tarnished versus Gold.

Weekly Technical Essentials

Economics: Central banks shift into neutral

4th MAY 2022

Slowing growth & lower inflation likely to curtail hiking cycle

Economics: Central banks shift into neutral

Weekly Technicals Essentials

25th APR. 2022

This is why sentiment matters for markets.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Economics: China, Russia and supply chain stress

20th APR. 2022

The demand-supply imbalance seemed to improve last month

Economics: China, Russia and supply chain stress

Economics: Gauging eurozone recession risk

13th APR. 2022

Introducing our eurozone recession risk dashboard.

Economics: Gauging eurozone recession risk

Weekly Technicals Essentials

11th APR. 2022

This week we look at persistent pessimism on equities and bonds, highlight that sentiment is becoming stretched around defensives/cyclicals and that DXY and AUD/NZD are facing stiffening sentiment headwinds.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Economics: Rising rates … and recession risks?

6th APR. 2022

Monetary and fiscal tightening raises recession risk for 2023.

Economics: Rising rates … and recession risks?

Weekly Technicals Essentials

4th APR. 2022

We look at challenges for eurozone equity rallies, contrarian support angles for bonds and highlight that sentiment is poles apart on Yen and Brazilian Real, focussing on the outlook for USD/JPY.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Economics: Russia’s war and the renminbi

30th MAR. 2022

Sanctions on Russia highlight China’s dollar vulnerabilities

Economics: Russia’s war and the renminbi

Weekly Technicals Essentials

28th MAR. 2022

Global Insurance has run into a sentiment headwind as its relative reaches a key inflection point, while we also provide a longer-term perspective on bond momentum. Bond volatility is now overbought on SBIs, while extended angles have also emerged in Commodities and FX.

Weekly Technicals Essentials