Research Insights

Updated weekly, a rolling feed of research insights and charts you really ought to see.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

6th DEC. 2021

In this week’s Essentials we look at the state of risk appetite after a tough week for risk assets, highlight that US small-caps are poised at an important inflection point versus large-caps and that metals are worth watching from a bond perspective, especially as the US 30Y yield has dropped below key support. We also look at support levels for Bitcoin.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Weekly Technicals Essentials

29th NOV. 2021

In this week’s Essentials we look at multi-asset market sentiment after the shake-out seen on Friday, highlighting that volatility on US and eurozone equities, as well as G7 FX, has hit overbought SBI levels, while pessimism is now stretched on EM equities and local currency bonds. We also look at dollar breakout targets and risk-points.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

FT ‘Insight’ Column by David Bowers

22nd NOV. 2021

"Supply-chain shock raises risk of more volatile economic cycles."
If inventories remain higher for longer, swings in business demand will be greater.

FT ‘Insight’ Column by David Bowers

Weekly Technicals Essentials

22nd NOV. 2021

In this week’s Essentials we highlight that not all the ‘risk-on’ stars are aligned, that optimism is stretched on US Growth versus Value as its relative breaches important resistance and also look at several notable sentiment angles in eurozone equities and FX. We also focus on Bitcoin in light of its failure to maintain its move above $64000.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Equity Strategy: Price is not the same as value.

18th NOV. 2021

After over 20 years of underperformance UK equities are screening as ‘cheap’ for many investors.

Equity Strategy: Price is not the same as value.

Economics: Europe’s political challenges mount

17th NOV. 2021

Renewed divergence raises risk of unpredictable outcomes

Economics: Europe’s political challenges mount

Weekly Technicals Essentials

15th NOV. 2021

In this week’s Essentials we highlight that markets are poised at key inflection points on several fronts, that dollar optimism is becoming stretched versus developed currencies and Iron Ore’s latest leg lower leaves pessimism stretched.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Economics: Post-Covid lessons from post-WWII

10th NOV. 2021

The immediate post-WWII period offers lessons for today

Economics: Post-Covid lessons from post-WWII

Weekly Technicals Essentials

8th NOV. 2021

In this week’s Essentials we highlight that US equity volatility is close to SBI reversal levels, while Russell 2000’s sentiment upswing may see some seasonal support.
We also look at European relative inflection points and contrarian potential for hard-hit Brazilian equities.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Economics: The end of China’s property bubble

3rd NOV. 2021

Policymakers can probably engineer a controlled deflation

Economics: The end of China’s property bubble

Weekly Technicals Essentials

1st NOV. 2021

In this week’s Essentials we look at sentiment tensions within equity and bond markets, challenges to a sustained Growth revival versus Value in equities and three things that point to contrarian support for the euro.

Weekly Technicals Essentials

Economics: Lessons from the last six months

27th OCT. 2021

And what do these lessons imply about the outlook?

Economics: Lessons from the last six months