Research Insights
Updated weekly, a rolling feed of research insights and charts you really ought to see.
Economics: When will China end zero Covid?
18th MAY. 2022
It could re-open sooner than you think, but probably won’t.
Weekly Technicals Essentials
16th MAY. 2022
Equity pessimism has hit stretched levels in absolute and relative terms, while dollar optimism is stretched on several fronts. In metals, Copper and Silver have reached stretched pessimism territory.
Weekly Technical Essentials
9th MAY. 2022
We highlight that equity pessimism has reached stretched levels in the eurozone, US and EM, while pessimism is stretched on a number of bond markets, as the US 10Y yield challenges long-term trendline resistance. Elsewhere in multi-asset, optimism is stretched on the US dollar on a number of fronts, while Copper sentiment is badly tarnished versus Gold.
Economics: Central banks shift into neutral
4th MAY 2022
Slowing growth & lower inflation likely to curtail hiking cycle
Economics: China, Russia and supply chain stress
20th APR. 2022
The demand-supply imbalance seemed to improve last month
Economics: Gauging eurozone recession risk
13th APR. 2022
Introducing our eurozone recession risk dashboard.
Weekly Technicals Essentials
11th APR. 2022
This week we look at persistent pessimism on equities and bonds, highlight that sentiment is becoming stretched around defensives/cyclicals and that DXY and AUD/NZD are facing stiffening sentiment headwinds.
Economics: Rising rates … and recession risks?
6th APR. 2022
Monetary and fiscal tightening raises recession risk for 2023.
Weekly Technicals Essentials
4th APR. 2022
We look at challenges for eurozone equity rallies, contrarian support angles for bonds and highlight that sentiment is poles apart on Yen and Brazilian Real, focussing on the outlook for USD/JPY.
Economics: Russia’s war and the renminbi
30th MAR. 2022
Sanctions on Russia highlight China’s dollar vulnerabilities
Weekly Technicals Essentials
28th MAR. 2022
Global Insurance has run into a sentiment headwind as its relative reaches a key inflection point, while we also provide a longer-term perspective on bond momentum. Bond volatility is now overbought on SBIs, while extended angles have also emerged in Commodities and FX.
