Research Insights
Updated weekly, a rolling feed of research insights and charts you really ought to see.
Economics: Europe’s Italy problem returns
22 JUN. 2022
ECB failure could see Europe back in a ‘bad equilibrium’
Economics: Top 2022 charts: a halftime report
8th JUN. 2022
How our major macro themes have panned out so far.
Economics: Rolling recessions lie ahead
1st JUN. 2022
Covid, supply shocks, & tighter policy increase recession risks
Economics: Why has US wage growth slowed?
25th MAY. 2022
There are few signs of a wage-price spiral taking hold.
Weekly Technicals Essentials
23rd MAY. 2022
While sentiment tensions have eased across assets, pessimism on the S&P 500 is still stretched. In this respect, US corporate bonds are worth watching, as are key levels for the US 10Y yield and EM local currency bonds.
Economics: When will China end zero Covid?
18th MAY. 2022
It could re-open sooner than you think, but probably won’t.
Weekly Technicals Essentials
16th MAY. 2022
Equity pessimism has hit stretched levels in absolute and relative terms, while dollar optimism is stretched on several fronts. In metals, Copper and Silver have reached stretched pessimism territory.
Weekly Technical Essentials
9th MAY. 2022
We highlight that equity pessimism has reached stretched levels in the eurozone, US and EM, while pessimism is stretched on a number of bond markets, as the US 10Y yield challenges long-term trendline resistance. Elsewhere in multi-asset, optimism is stretched on the US dollar on a number of fronts, while Copper sentiment is badly tarnished versus Gold.
Economics: Central banks shift into neutral
4th MAY 2022
Slowing growth & lower inflation likely to curtail hiking cycle
