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IFRS 9

Impartial macroeconomic scenarios designed to meet IFRS 9 requirements. Each scenario is built using consistent, data-driven assumptions to support forward-looking credit loss modelling and regulatory stress testing.

OVERVIEW

Understanding economic and financial scenarios is essential to effective risk modelling across financial institutions, including banks, credit brokers, and insurers. With a long-standing team of world-class economists and industry-leading modelling capabilities, Absolute Strategy Research is well-placed to provide tailored economic scenarios to support IFRS 9 compliance and broader stress-testing requirements.

CREDENTIALS

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Over the last 20 years, ASR has created an extensive suite of quantitative and qualitative tools for examining the interaction between the macroeconomy and financial markets.

 

These include our Quarterly Asset Allocation survey, which aims to understand the consensus and distribution of current views in the market, and the probabilities that investors are attaching to certain tail risk events.

METHODOLOGY

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The combined package equips our economists with the tools necessary to craft sensible baseline projections, conduct rigorous scenario analysis, and track how adverse shocks propagate through the economy.

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WHAT'S INCLUDED?

Scenarios

Central forecast and three alternative scenarios provided on a quarterly basis.

Core Dynamics

Inspired by models in use at both the IMF and OBR, with extensions providing the granular detail necessary to conduct comprehensive analysis. Household and business behaviour, labour market conditions, the impact of fiscal and monetary policy, inflation dynamics, the housing market, and external trade are all modelled directly.

Financial Cycle Indicators

Capturing movements in the long-run financial cycle. Comprised of: credit to the private non-financial sector, the ratio of credit to GDP (leverage), and residential property prices.

SERVICES

 
Absolute Connect Webinars
At least once a month, our weekly Absolute Connect Webinars will have an Economics and Asset Allocation focus. 

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Dedicated Account Manager

Dedicated account manager committed to understanding our clients' unique needs and ensuring a seamless experience. With personalised support, we to build lasting relationships to help achieve their goals.

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Portal Access

Convenient access to all research and webinar recordings from within ASR's online Portal, complemented by email updates to keep you informed.

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CONTACT US

Register for a trial. Speak to our team about our research and products. Provide feedback on the service.
We would love to hear from you.

GET IN TOUCH

London: +44 (0)20 7073 0730

Connecticut: +1 917 678 1328

Melbourne: + 61 412 401 107 

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