ASR Q4 Asset Allocation Survey
This is the most bullish result we have seen in the 6 years of the Survey running.
It is also the one with the highest level of conviction, and the one with the greatest risk of ‘Groupthink’.
There are 14 record implied probabilities…
…and also 2 questions that clash - Investors see no valuation risk in equities despite a growing conviction that bond yields will be higher, and despite enthusiasm for global reflation and Value beating Growth, investors only grudgingly accept that non-US equities could beat US equities: they are unconvinced that Global Banks can outperform Global Tech.
Policymakers should be worried about this Survey....As it raises the question whether the decline in rates / doubling of the Fed’s balance sheet has generated so much liquidity, that it risks creating a bubble in risk assets.
For a full insight into the survey’s findings, along with our work more broadly – Please get in touch with ASR’s Sales team for a trial of our work!
Click HERE to read the full report.